The Deck Split

At the Royal Flush card club one evening, there was a lively discussion among its members about splitting a deck of cards into two equal piles after a thorough shuffle, in which, respectively, there would be exactly ten red cards in one pile and exactly ten black cards in the other pile.

Bets were taken for twelve trials to check whether this event would occur at least once.

How much would you bet on this event occurring in the course of twelve such splits?

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